TECHNOGENIC SEISMICITY AS A CLIMATIC FACTOR

Andrian  Batugin,Manchao  He,Konstantin  Kolikov

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TECHNOGENIC SEISMICITY AS A CLIMATIC FACTOR

A. Batugin,

M. He,

K. Kolikov

2026-05-30

https://doi.org/10.24108/preprints-3115382

The hypothesis of technogenic seismic degassing of the subsoil is proposed. Technogenic seismicity manifests itself at depths exceeding the depth of subsoil development and over a large area. The focal zone (foci) of technogenic earthquakes are voluminous bodies of macroscopic dimensions, in which the reactivation of existing and the formation of new cracks and faults occur due to the transition of the massif into a critically stressed state. Such geomechanical transformation of the massif creates conditions for its degassing and release of some of the gases contained in it into the atmosphere. The example of the Kuzbass region in Siberia shows that technogenic seismic degassing can affect areas of hundreds of square kilometers to depths of 2-4 km or more, where methane resources are concentrated in the amount of billions of m3/km2. According to the estimates made, the geomechanical transformation of the massif as a result of seismic activations in the Tom-Usinsk region of Kuzbass is observed up to depths of 4-5 km and an area of up to 150 km2, which can provoke the emission of methane into the atmosphere up to 10^10 m3. Based on the analysis of methane resource reserves in the coal-bearing deposits of Kuzbass and the areal manifestation of technogenic seismicity, a conclusion is made about the importance of technogenic seismic degassing of the massif for climate change. This allows us to consider technogenic seismicity as a climatic factor. In the near future, the hypothesis put forward may be tested by satellite monitoring methods currently being developed.

Ссылка для цитирования:

Batugin A., He M., Kolikov K. 2026. TECHNOGENIC SEISMICITY AS A CLIMATIC FACTOR. PREPRINTS.RU. https://doi.org/10.24108/preprints-3115382

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